Special Report:Global Financial Crisis
SEOUL, March 16 (Chinese media) -- South Korea's monthly trade surplus may reach a
record high of 4 billion U.S. dollars in March, thanks to a plunge in imports
amid the global recession, the Ministry of Knowledge and Economy said Monday.
Lee Dong-geun, a deputy minister at the Ministry of Knowledge and Economy,
said at a press meeting that imports are likely to make an on-year drop of 33
percent until the middle of the month, while exports are decreasing by 22
percent, according to the preliminary figures.
With international energy prices and the exchange rates staying steady, the
amount of the monthly surplus is expected to exceed the highest level reached in
April 1998, 3.85 billion U.S. dollars, and to break the 4 billion U.S. dollar
mark, according to the deputy minister.
"Although exports are decreasing, energy prices are plummeting at a faster
rate due to the economic slump, which may place the trade balance in positive
territory," he added.
If the surplus expectation is fulfilled for March, the nation's monthly
trade balance will be staying in the black for two consecutive months,
continuing from the surplus of 2.93 billion U.S. dollars in February.
The deputy master also said that exports are likely to make an upward turn
in the fourth quarter, after staying at a decreasing slope until September.
He also said that a trade surplus of around 20 billion U.S. dollars are
expected for 2009, even though total exports may not meet the forecast made in
2008, 422 billion U.S. dollars.
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